Common contemporary analyses of current affairs tend to overlook the globally overarching geo-sociological imperative, while pursuing popular myths like conspiracy theories and sectarian splits — which, of course, cannot be ruled out completely, realistically speaking. The present paper will probe the issue from the geo-sociological perspective, which is inter-, cross-and multi-disciplinary. As such, it is integratively Holistic in its system’s systemic approach concerning all of the three major Systems: National, Regional and International. It covers all essential existential levels, from the micro to the micro.
Geo-sociology is the systemic study of the international, regional and national systems from the primary principled perspective of both geography and sociology to subsume: Anthropology, history, ideology as well as futuristics, geo-politicals, geo-economics and geo-strategy, focusing both the abiding national interest and the global human interest in futuristically enlightened balance and moderating for sustainable peace on earth as the human home and habitat. I have deliberately introduced this term here to highlight both of its senses:
(a) The Middle East as a densely settled regional home of all the three “Ahl-al Kitab” brothers of the book: Muslims, Jews and Christians. (b) The need of a new more open and inclusive `ecumenical movement’ for the (re)unification of the said `Brothers / Sisters of the Book’ — including their Sects, to curb and cure sectarianism.
Applied to the present ongoing Middle East situation, its overriding social fact and reality is the current crisis or multiple complex crises, and the sly subtle social process is that of Geopolitical and Socio-cultural Change seeking to redraw subversively and destabilisingly the Middle East Map by War and Terrorism. Sectarianism has become a handy tool in this dirty divisive Global – Regional Power Politics.
The geo-sociological imperative demands of all the stakeholders and actors in the prevalent Middle East strategic scenario, first and foremost as the top-most priority, to recognize and respectfully accept the historical-cum-contemporary geo-sociological reality of the Middle East: both Geographical and Sociological as its existential state social systems. That, in real life terms means, indeed, essentiates, compulsively: sovereign states, societies, systems and their democratically elected governments should neither be subverted, nor destabilised, nor yet regime-changed militantly.
The existing geo-political, geo-economic and geo-strategic system must be strengthened by respecting its stabilizing status-quo. The core concern of social change in and within a sovereign state social system is to strike a steady state sustainable balance between critical continuity and essential selective normative social change which is engineered Indigenously. Social Change, in order to be socially relevantly, must rise from the people’s grass-roots, naturally. It should neither be imported colonially nor imposed imperially, because it will not strike roots in the national subsoil psyche and spirit.
The Geo-sociological Imperative is the most natural, normal and rational antidote to the Imperial Hubris — which is currently at play to pollute and pillory the Muslim Middle East. Because this imperative is based in human nature, psyche and psychology, it is as natural as the Human conscience and moral mind. Being morally spiritualising as a Peace Imperative, it is not just global, but also cosmic in its ever-expansive ambience. As such, it is the best guarantee of local-national, regional and global Peace. Pakistan needs to recall that the situation in Yemen is reminiscent of and comparable to its East Pakistan Tragedy of 1970-71. The Yemini domino effect could destabilize other sovereign states, societies and their systems.
The Middle East Crises are an imperialistic divide and rule existential challenge of fragmentation and disintegration to Islam, the Muslim and the Muslim World of Islam. Their very foreseeable Future is at stake. Their sustainable survival lies in Islam as their Identity and Destiny. That calls for, crucially, Muslim Unity under Islam — not any sectarian, racial or narrowly notional nationalistic, jingoistic divide. Now is their golden chance to get united under Islami Regionalism and Muslim World Regionalisation to meet the challenge of the current crises, for (i) Collective strategic self-defence; and: (ii) Collective cumulative integrative holistic development.